Monday, 21 May 2012

Commercial Income/Reserves Move Behind Closed Doors

emirates2

If you haven’t already found it for yourselves, I start today by recommending another blog, that of the “Swiss Rambler”. The person who writes it is anonymous but he is a Brit who lives in Switzerland. His stuff on the business and economics of football is well-written and well-researched. His latest blog is on Internazionale, a massive on-field success last season. Off the field, not so much. In the financial year ended 30 June 2009, they lost €154 million (around £132 million). 

You can find the blog here: 

http://swissramble.blogspot.com/ 

His piece about Inter contains figures from the Deloitte Football Money League 2010 which make very interesting reading. Bayern Munich raked in £135.7 million, compared to £48.1 million at Arsenal. Manchester United managed £70 million. We’re even beaten by Chelsea at £52.8 million. 

As many Gooners have been saying this is an area where the club can and must do MUCH better. Emirates Airline has recently announced it wants to renew its naming rights deal for the Grove when it expires is 2021. The airlines executive vice-chairman Sir Maurice Flanagan is quoted in the United Arab Emirates daily English language newspaper The National as saying, the deal is a “fantastic bargain….. It is an extremely cost-effective way of maintaining worldwide exposure for brand Emirates,” The associated shirt sponsorship deal ends in 2014. 

This may be the leverage we’re looking for to get a much better deal on both the jersey sponsorship and naming rights. The real plum for Emirates is the stadium naming rights, although the jersey rights are also very valuable. The only uncertain factor is how the economy will look in 2014. There’s every chance of another dip into recession. I think there are reasons not to completely rule out a full-blown depression. In the latter case all bets would be off.

Let’s for a moment assume however that Emirates continues on its upward path. That’s not absolutely certain but is a reasonable bet. The airline is wholly owned by the government of Dubai  (which is an absolute monarchy ruled by the Emir and his family, and federated with six other small Gulf emirates as a member of the United Arab Emirates). It made a profit of United Arab Emirates Dirham 3.538 billion (about £620 million) in the financial year 2009/10. It has been profitable in eleven of the last thirteen years. Emirates is expanding rapidly. It was the first airline in the world in the world to order the new super-jumbo Airbus A380 aircraft. It has just made the world’s single biggest commercial aircraft order for 32 A380s. The order is worth nearly £7.5 billion. 

It’s safe to say that Emirates isn’t short of a few bob. It’s pumped a lot of money into sports sponsorship as part of its advertising and marketing strategy. The only slight question mark is over the financial future of Dubai which unlike some of the other emirates like Abu Dhabi isn’t awash with oil. We’ve seen the recent meltdown of the property market in Dubai and problems in its financial sector. Tourism has also taken a hit with the recession. 

The airline is financially self-sufficient however. We should be able to “lever” a good deal for ground naming rights if we handle the expiry of the jersey sponsorship deal right. Nike has taken up the option to extend its kit sponsorship deal until 2014. We should see a substantial increase there too if we play our cards right. Combining the deal on jersey name sponsors and the ground naming rights should provide a synergy leading to a better deal than having two different sponsors in this area. 2014 isn’t too soon to be looking at testing the market on ground naming rights. 

If I was negotiating for the club I’d do try to do the vest best deal possible for a MAJOR increase for Emirates in shirt sponsorship from summer 2014 AND for naming rights from summer 2021. I’d include a clause allowing Emirates to match any improved offer we might attract for naming rights between 2014 and 2021. That would allow them to drop out and allow in another naming rights sponsor if what we were offered was much more than the maximum they were prepared to pay, whist giving us some certainty of increased income upon which to plan. 

£72 million of the £90 million due from Emirates under the combined current deal will have been paid by 2012, leaving £18 million to come in between 2012 and 2021 – an average of only £2 million a season. This is a big gap we need to plug. Profits from property sales at the old ground and the Ashburton Grove triangle will plug some of that but it’s something for which we have to plan. I’d be trying to seize on Emirates evident enthusiasm without locking ourselves in too much. It’s a delicate balance between guaranteeing income from a partner that is likely to be able to deliver and not losing out by being too conservative. If I had to bet I’d say that the world economy is going to go through some very difficult times in the next decade though. A little less cash for certainty might be a good bet. Like all things in a free-market economy there’s no certainty however. We should certainly be out there – discreetly – testing the market right now. 

I’ve blogged before that one area we should look at is the commercial impact of not having a sponsor’s logo on the playing jerseys at all or a much smaller one (like the small Etihad logo under the club badge on Manchester City’s  current white with red and black sash change strip). There’s also Racing Club in Argentina whose sponsor Banco Hipotecario (the country’s biggest mortgage lender) has paid NOT to have its logo on the club’s playing jerseys). It may be that the Etihad decision on the Manchester City change strip is not a strictly commercial one. The Banco Hipotecario one with Racing Club is however. Neither the home nor the change strips carry the bank’ logo. 

One potential sponsor for stadium naming rights and jersey sponsorship we should look at is Nike. Their last accounts show annual profits of over £950 million. A package of kit, jersey name sponsorship and stadium naming rights might just be very attractive to them. What we don’t want is the tail wagging the dog as we’ve seen with their sponsorship with the CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol, the Brazilian Football Confederation) for the Brazilian national teams. This deal has seen the senior men’s national team sent around the world to play lucrative friendlies. Decisions on friendly matches must take into account the commercial needs of the club. The decisions must be made by the club, not the sponsors however. They need to reflect the primary objective of the club which is to win trophies, not make money. Money is a means to an end, not an end in itself. 

The objective has to be getting far closer to Bayern Munich’s benchmark in commercial income however, which even exceeds the £111 million plus that Real Madrid managed in the latest period. 

On a completely different subject I’m disappointed to see that we’ll only be playing four reserve team matches open to fans at Underhill this season. The balance have been scheduled to be played behind closed doors at the Shenley training ground. This follows a change in the Premier Reserve League rules to allow closed door matches. 

The reserves might not draw huge crowds – not that we try very hard to get a crowd to them – but they’re a cheap (admission has been free for many seasons) and accessible way for fans locked out of the Grove by either price and/or availability to get to see Arsenal. I remember a reserve match against Spurs at Underhill a few seasons ago which drew an excellent crowd. There was even singing, unheard of at the stiffs! 

I was also disappointed to learn that we’ve asked for a fifty percent share of the net receipts from our annual first-team friendly against Barnet. The deal over the seasons that the reserves have played their home games at Barnet has been that we paid actual costs for each game there. Barnet has got its profit out of the arrangement by keeping all the receipts after match expenses from the annual friendly. Asking for half of the receipts for this year was cheap of us I think. The sum involved will only be £25,000 or so, hardly a fortune for us but an important income source for Barnet who average about 1,600 souls a game. 

We’ve done a deal with them now that they keep the money “on account” to be disbursed game by game as we play reserve and FA Youth Cup matches at Underhill. I think we can do better than that and continue to give them the full gate receipts from the annual friendly (assuming we agree to keep playing it). Of course we have to look after ourselves but let’s give a little back to the grass-roots too. 

As I finish this blog there are reports that our biggest shareholder Stan Kroenke is on the verge of completing his takeover as sole owner of the St Louis Rams of the National Football League in the USA. The NFL’s finance committee has approved the Kroenke purchase which will now go before a full meeting of NFL owners today in Atlanta. More on that on Friday. 

Keep the faith! 

vic@arsenalinsider.com

{jcomments on}

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  • Neal Brown

    The Emirates deal is only a “bargain” because we needed the money up front to pay for the stadium. The next deal will be much more lucrative!

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  • Robert

    The deals for shirts and stadium naming were struck before the new stadium was built, when the risk that something would go wrong was much higher, and when Arsenal wanted a long term deal for income security. Now that everything’s going well, it’s not surprising that the deal looks cheap. Emirates are right to think they have a good deal now, but they took a risk years ago in signing a long term deal before construction, so it’s payback time now for them.

    The reason only £2m is payable for the next few seasons is that Arsenal wanted to front-load the income in order to pay back the debt. When renewal time comes, Arsenal can do much better, but until then we are stuck in a deal that we chose to structure as we did.

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  • Barry Webb

    You have to be very careful when quoting some of the income from commercial interests. Arsenal are very conservative when quoting income figures. For example, and this is from memory so it may not be 100% accurate, Arsenal’s kit sales were compared with Man Utd and Real Madrid. Both of these clubs booked 100% of the shirt sales as income even though they had to pay Nike 50%. Arsenal only booked their 50% share of the sale. The difference being, Arsenal had lower sales but lower costs. They could do the same with the in-house catering at the Emirates and record the total sales and offset it by the share they have to pay the caterers.

    Question about Chelsea’s figures: Does this include income from Chelsea Village, the hotel complex attached to Stamford Bridge? If they do, that would be like adding the income from sales of the flats at Highbury to Arsenal’s footballing income. As with the shirts and catering, only the contribution to profits is counted as income.

    And someone, anyone, please explain to me how Bayern Munich had commercial income of £135.7 million in I presume, 2009. I don’t begrudge them the money, but in the cold light of day, it does sound very unrealistic, doesn’t it.

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  • Non de Plume

    Vic! I believe you are mixing up the shirt and stadium deals. The shirt deal expires season 2014/2015, I believe. The Stadium deal, together with the catering deal, expire in 2021. I do not believe that The Arsenal (Arsenal Holdings Plc) will abrogate any contracts unilaterally. You missed out a very important item, it is $8 millions per year to 2021! Buy out the contract for the shirt + Stadium – a NO GO in MHO. The shirt deals are up for graps in 2014. It is up to the Arsenal Board to ensure they ensure due diligence on the ROI (Return on Investment)for ALL prospects.
    My source was FB Business whose source was Arabian source whose source was the geezer Vic mentioned. ROI is the touchstone for The Arsenal to outbid the charlatans who rule at Manure, Chelsea, Real Madrid, FC Barcelona who are all run commercially as loss-leaders!

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  • Vic Crescit

    @ Neal Brown – there is a body of informed opinion in the field that suggests we should have done better even with the constraints on us to get cash in quickly to pay construction bills. I hope you’re right about the next shirt, kit and naming rights deals.

    @ Robert – I know the Emirates deal made £72 million of the £90 million payable by 2012, the bulk of it in the early years of the deal which was struck in 2004. You’re right as is Neal Brown about the risks at that time for Emirates or any other prospective partner. That said I think we should still have done better than we did.

    With all the risks now eliminated and our cash flow transformed we are in a much better position to negoatiate from strength, absent another major economic disturbance like the international banking crash we’ve just come through.

    I accept that we need to take into account different accounting policies as in the examples you cite. I still think we should be doing a LOT better than we are on the commercial front.

    As far as Bayern Munich goes I dont’ have the detailed answers you’re looking for, except to say that German clubs generally have always done very well in this field (only this season did the aggrage of shirt sponsorship deals for the 20 Premier League teams exceed that of the 18 Bundesliga teams for example). You also have to bear in mind that Bayern Munich has a similar national strength of following to Manchester United here.

    I’m convinced its not an accounting problem. German accounting rules and conventions are very cautious and conservative.

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  • Vic Crescit

    @ Robert – Can’t help with the Chelsea question either I’m afraid. Now that Chelsea is a private company the figures available are a lot less revealing.

    @ Barry Webb – fair point mate. I’d encourage the club to be conservative in its accounting policies without going too far. There’s an excellent analogy in one of the Swiss Rambler’s blogs. If it’s forecast to rain it’s prudent to take an umbrella out but staying in the house to avoid getting wet is going too far.

    @ Non de Plume – My blog may not have been clear as it should have been but I’m not mixing the two up mate. The Emirates jersey deal ends in 2014, the naming rights agreement in 2021. I’m suggesting that we might profitably use the ending of one to get good terms on the other. I can see the commercial advantages to Emirates or any other partner in holding both sponsorships.

    I wouldn’t suggest abrogating our current deals. Too much reputational damage amongst many other reasons why not. I do think we should be getting out ahead of the race however as these deals come up for renewal. I’m not sure I get your point on the US$8 million a year to 2021 mate. From where is the money due to come? The Emirates deal was for £90 miilion for naming rights and shirt logo, £72 million to be paid by 2012, leaving £18 million to come 2012-2021, an average of £2 million a year, plus whatever we get for the new shirt contract.

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  • Barry Webb

    In business, turnover is vanity, profit is sanity, cash flow is king

    Booking income at 100% providing you account for the corresponding cost is 100% OK. But it can reasonably be argued that for a particular income stream where the various components are know, it is better to reflect the known actuality up-front. Except of course, if you are trying to inflate your position within a peer group i.e. large football clubs, or are trying to present a more attractive financial picture to those that cannot grasp the bigger picture.

    In footballing terms, this would be like claiming excellence for scoring 100 goals in a season but neglecting to mention that you conceded 101.

    Apart from the excellent “The Swiss Ramble” blog at http://swissramble.blogspot.com/ referenced in the main article, have a look at “the andersred blog” at http://andersred.blogspot.com/ which tries to throw light on the nefarious dealings of the Glazier family.

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  • Non de Plume

    Vic! Mate! I have not seen the contract, so if the £72 millions stash is safe then it is easy-peasy for the remaining amount. Why the chap should say $8 millions per year is perhaps to show how smart he is!
    One could follow the Spuds attempt to have a different shirt for each tournament. £10 millions from Autonomy, perhaps £10 millions for FA Cup, Carling Cup, Champions League qualifiers etc., the mind boggles. Can those down that unmentionable lane be that stupid, stupid, stupid. I suppose so with that Dan person who seems to be an orphan on benefits.
    FC Business ran a piece about howwell the others have done.

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  • Vic Crescit

    @ Barry web. That’s what I was always taught when I worked in the private sector which I did for the first ten years of my working life. I remember finding out at the sharp end the difference between turnover, profit and cashflow. The second company I worked for had two large clients both of which thought paying bills was something you did when you got around to it. It wassn’t that they didn’t have the cash, they just didn’t see the problems of small companies as they were rolling in it. I remember having to spend ages telling tales to our suppliers whom we couldn’t pay because we hadn’t been paid, sometimes hundreds of thousands of pounds. That didn’t stop our clients ringing us up and shouting at us because we wouldn’t release parts for shipping until we got paid!

    @ Nom de Plume – I don’t either mate. As for the Spuds, UEFA Champions League regulations restrict all competing clubs to using a sponsor a) approved by their national association and b) being used in at least one of the domestic competitions in which they play. Spuds will be limited to using one of their domestic sponsors on their shirts in the Champions League

    We all fervrently hope that they’ll be looking forward to the Europa League this season after tonight of course! :lol:

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  • DJ Dragonfly

    @ Vic Crescit

    I think the all in one deal you suggested about Nike would be an excellent idea, however I feel the club needs to insert either the word Arsenal or Highbury in the new stadium naming rights deal (e.g. The Nike Arsenal Stadium or The Nike Highbury Stadium.)

    As part of the ‘Arsenalisation’ project, inserting a part of our heritage into the naming rights deal would be the final jigsaw. At present, the stadium name (and the poorly negotiated deal) is an absolute joke! I refuse to call it by it’s current name. It’s The Grove in my eyes.

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  • Vic Crescit

    @ DJ Dragonfly

    Nice idea on stadium naming mate but I doubt it’ll fly commercially. What naming rights sponsors dream about is their name being used, as most refer to Ashburton Grove as “The Emirates”.

    Experience shows that using three another descriptor in the official name doesn’t work e.g. The Cellnet Riverside Stadium.

    I’m not keen on stadium naming rights personal but it’s not very high on the list of things I care about. Ticket prices and access to tickets are two issues far higher up my list.

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  • Frudicus

    It’s official!

    http://www.skysports.com/story/0,19528,11670_6339359,00.html

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  • Rúní

    the only reason, that we only get two million a year from 2014 to 2021. is that the 2 million are only for the stadium naming rights. So we will get money from a new deal for the shirts, that will probably be much bigger than the 6,5 million we gett now.

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  • Rúní

    germany is the biggest marked in europe by far, and they have one mega club, so offcourse they will have huge comercial income.

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  • rúni

    Former managing director Keith Edelman signed secure contracts with sponsors Emirates and kit makers Nike when the Gunners were trying to finance their new stadium, but other top clubs are benefiting from far more lucrative agreements.

    Arsenal’s deals are dwarfed by those of Chelsea, Manchester United and Liverpool.

    The north London club get £6m per year for their shirt sponsorship with Emirates, which runs to 2014. The airline also has naming rights to the club’s stadium after signing a 15-year deal in 2006.

    Furthermore, Arsenal have an £8m-a-year deal with Nike, which initially ran until 2011, but the sportswear giant took up the option last summer of extending it by three years until June 2014

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