‘7% against Spurs’: Arteta delivers fascinating statistical insight into Arsenal’s terrible form

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Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta held his pre-match press conference this morning ahead of his side’s Carabao Cup quarter-final clash against Manchester City on Tuesday.

The Spaniard is under a lot of pressure from the fans and the media. Arsenal have lost eight games in the Premier League this season and we are currently stuck in 15th place – just four points above the drop zone.

Things just aren’t clicking for us at the moment. We clearly are improving every game – especially in the second half. However, our dominance in possession isn’t converting into goals, and that explains why we aren’t winning games.

Arteta was asked about his side’s inability to pick up wins at the moment. He dived deep into statistics to explain Arsenal’s problems, and his conclusion at the end just makes it look like we have been extremely unlucky.

Arsenal have been unlucky

He told Arsenal.com: “When you look at the perspective about how we are losing football matches and how we are where we are, it is pretty incredible. Last year we won the game against Everton with a 25 per cent chance of winning, you win 3-2.”

“Last weekend, it was a 67 per cent chance of winning, any Premier League game in history, and a nine per cent chance of losing, and you lose. Three per cent against Burnley and you lose. Seven per cent against Spurs, and you lose.”

“There is something else apart from that it is not just the performance on the pitch, it is something else that needs to go our way and at the moment it doesn’t. Saying that, it doesn’t care and you lose, and the only thing that anyone cares is that you lose a football match and this what we hear.”

That really is fascinating. If the numbers really are accurate, we should be winning a lot more than we are losing. Three per cent chance of losing against Burnley and seven per cent against Spurs but we still managed to lose, and that hurts.

However, Arsenal cannot dwell on that and feel sorry for ourselves now. We need to find a way to get back to winning ways, and a good result against Manchester City tomorrow could prove to be the change in fortune we need to save this season.