The latest data after the weekend’s Premier League fixtures has now recalculated Arsenal, Manchester City, and Liverpool’s chances of winning the title.
Arsenal are currently top of the Premier League table, but Liverpool and Manchester City are breathing down their necks.
Kai Havertz’s late winner against Brentford at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday secured the Gunners the three points they needed to retake top spot in the Premier League for the first time since Christmas. Mikel Arteta’s side now have 64 points on the board, with ten league games left to play.
At Anfield on Sunday, Liverpool held Manchester City to a 1-1 draw. The Reds are now level on points with the north London club, but have an inferior goal difference. Meanwhile, third-place Manchester City are sitting on 63 points.
Arteta has already revealed his points target for the season. Whoever wins this title race will have to be close to perfect for the remainder of the campaign. There is precious little room for error still available to any of the trio.
Arsenal’s own prospects of being crowned champions will be impacted hugely by the outcome of their next Premier League fixture. On the 31st of March they are due to travel to the Etihad Stadium to take on Pep Guardiola’s reigning champions.
Do Arsenal stand a good chance of winning the Premier League title?
The Gunners will have to be at their very best to get a positive result on the road against Manchester City, but given their recent form and the talent in the squad, Arsenal should not be making that trip with fear of failure on their minds. Arsenal can go to Manchester City and win, and that has to be the aim.
It is so hard to predict who will emerge as eventual champions. However, Opta have revised the data after the latest round fixtures and put together a prediction. According to their analysis, Arsenal now stand an 18.8% chance of coming out on top, up 5.8% from their rating of 13% prior to the weekend’s results.
Liverpool, meanwhile, are credited with a 35.3% chance of glory. Manchester City, who have won the title in five out of the last six seasons, remain firm favourites with a 45.9% chance. Though, this figure has dropped 5.5% since their failure to claim all three points on their visit to Merseyside.
Whilst this data only gives Arsenal a somewhat outside chance, the players in Arteta’s dressing room will still firmly believe that they have what it takes to go all the way, and so they should. The Gunners have scored more goals and have conceded fewer than any other side in the division. Arsenal are in blistering form at both ends of the pitch and need to keep the faith.
Receive a digest of our best Arsenal content each week direct to your mailbox
